RISK MANAGEMENT CONCEPTS AND GUIDANCE

PRITCHARD, CARL L. (2001) RISK MANAGEMENT CONCEPTS AND GUIDANCE. ESI International.

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Abstract

Concept of Risk ................................................................................ 10 Relationships Among the Five Risk Facets ...................................... 15 Short-Term and Long-Term Risk Perspectives ................................. 21 Life-Cycle Cost ................................................................................. 23 Risk Management Processes ............................................................. 25 Sample Risk Management Plan ........................................................ 27 Risk Baselines ............................................................................... 34 Risk Rating ................................................................................. 35 Probability/Impact Risk Rating Matrix ............................................ 37 Sample Cumulative Probability Distribution ................................... 40 Analogy Comparison ........................................................................ 93 Plan Evaluation Technique ............................................................. 100 Technical Risk Dictionary .............................................................. 103 Common Project Management Templates. Arranged by Phase .... 144 Assumptions Documentation ......................................................... 150 Decision Table ................................................................................ 158 Decision Tree .................................................................................. 159 Project Represented as an Activity-on-Arrow Network ................ 170 Project Represented as a Precedence Diagram ............................... 170 Page 20 . Normal Distribution ..................................................................... 182 21 . Normal Distribution Accounting Only for Late Outcomes ........... 183 22 . Ishikawa (Fishbone) Diagram ......................................................... 190 23 . Force Field Analysis ........................................................................ 191 24 . Sample Probability Guidance ......................................................... 197 25 . Sample Impact Guidance ............................................................. 199 26 . Risk-Opportunity Decision Scale ................................................... 207 27 . Scatter Diagram Example ............................................................... 211 28 . Cost RiskPJVBS Simulation Model ............................................... 217 29 . Risk Support ................................................................................ 218 30 . Sample Technical Breakdown ........................................................ 225 3 1 . Risk Response Matrix ................................................................. 232 32 . Expanded Risk Response Matrix .................................................... 233 33 . Sample Indicators ........................................................................... 241 34 . Technical Performance Management ............................................. 246 C-1 . Results of Variance in Throwing Dice ............................................ 276 C-2 . PDF of a Normal Distribution ........................................................ 280 C-3 . CDF of a Normal Distribution ...................................................... 281 C-4 . PDF of a Uniform Distribution ....................................................... 281 C-5 . CDF of a Uniform Distribution ...................................................... 282 C-6 . PDF of a Triangular Distribution .................................................... 282 C-7 . Decision Tree Analysis ................................................................... 284 D-1 . Probability Density Function .......................................................... 286 D-2 . Fitting a Curve to Expert Judgment ............................................... 289 . vi Figures Tables Page Typical Sources of Risk by Facet ....................................................... 12 Risk Categories and Sources (per PMBOP Guide-1987 Edition) ................................................ 16 Risk Categories and Sources (per PMBOP Guide-2000 Edition) ................................................ 17 Top-Level Risk Matrix ...................................................................... 33 Sample Watch List ............................................................................ 39 Risk Analysis Technique Selection Matrix ...................................... 52 Technique Applications .................................................................. 53 Project Phase Technique Application .............................................. 56 Sample Risk Methodology ................................................................ 75 SWOT Matrix ................................................................................ 133 Standard Indicators ......................................................................... 240 Sample Special Indicators .............................................................. 242 Fully Integrated Performance Measurement- Typical Technical Parameters ......................................................... 245 Technical Performance Schedule Milestones ................................. 247 Possible Risk Sources ...................................................................... 268 Expected Values Example ............................................................... 283 Characteristic Values for Equipment Test Durations ..................... 291 D.2 . Summary of Preference Relationships ............................................ 292 D.3 . Transformation ............................................................................ 292 D.4 . Relative Probability Ratings ......................................................... 293 D.5 . Probability Density ......................................................................... 295 E-1 . Quantification of Probability and Impact of Technical Drivers ............................................................................ 298 E-2 . Quantification of Probability and Impact of Operational Drivers ........................................................................ 300 E-3 . Quantification of Probability and Impact of Support Drivers ............................................................................... 301 E-4 . Quantification of Probability and Impact of Cost Drivers ................................................................................ 303 E-5 . Quantification of Probability and Impact of Schedule Drivers ........................................................................ 305

Item Type: Book
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor > HD28 Management. Industrial Management
Depositing User: Unnamed user with email [email protected]
Date Deposited: 17 May 2023 03:13
Last Modified: 17 May 2023 03:13
URI: http://eprint.ulbi.ac.id/id/eprint/1870

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